Cossatot River — Predictions: 2026-07-05
Predictions issued: 11
Settled (peak window passed): 11
Issued 2026-07-06 03:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.47 ft |
2.60 ft |
+0.13 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-06 03:50 |
2026-07-05 23:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.00" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (28 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
1.09" |
0.47 ft |
01:44 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.01" |
0.37 ft |
03:17 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-07-06 02:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.53 ft |
2.60 ft |
+0.07 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-06 02:50 |
2026-07-05 23:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.00" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (28 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
1.16" |
0.50 ft |
01:30 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.04" |
0.39 ft |
03:10 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-07-06 01:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.57 ft |
2.40 ft |
-0.17 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-06 01:50 |
2026-07-05 22:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.00" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (28 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
1.16" |
0.50 ft |
01:30 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.04" |
0.39 ft |
03:10 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-07-06 00:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.57 ft |
2.40 ft |
-0.17 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-06 01:50 |
2026-07-05 22:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.00" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (28 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.78" |
0.46 ft |
23:17 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
1.16" |
0.50 ft |
01:30 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.04" |
0.39 ft |
03:10 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-07-05 23:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.57 ft |
2.40 ft |
-0.17 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-06 01:50 |
2026-07-05 22:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.00" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (28 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.78" |
0.46 ft |
23:17 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
1.16" |
0.50 ft |
01:30 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.04" |
0.39 ft |
03:10 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-07-05 22:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.58 ft |
2.40 ft |
-0.18 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-06 01:50 |
2026-07-05 22:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.00" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (28 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
0.78" |
0.46 ft |
23:17 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
1.16" |
0.50 ft |
01:30 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.04" |
0.39 ft |
03:10 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-07-05 21:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.57 ft |
2.40 ft |
-0.17 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-06 01:50 |
2026-07-05 22:45 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.00" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (28 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.64" |
0.66 ft |
21:08 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.79" |
0.46 ft |
23:15 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
1.17" |
0.50 ft |
01:30 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.05" |
0.39 ft |
03:08 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-07-05 20:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.75 ft |
2.30 ft |
-0.45 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-05 20:50 |
2026-07-05 16:00 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (1.00" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (28 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.62" |
0.64 ft |
20:58 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.79" |
0.46 ft |
23:14 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
1.17" |
0.50 ft |
01:30 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
1.05" |
0.39 ft |
03:08 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-07-05 19:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.63 ft |
2.30 ft |
-0.33 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-05 20:50 |
2026-07-05 16:00 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.87" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (28 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
0.52" |
0.54 ft |
20:32 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.68" |
0.40 ft |
22:55 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.99" |
0.43 ft |
01:11 |
HEAVY |
| 5 |
0.84" |
0.31 ft |
02:44 |
HEAVY |
Issued 2026-07-05 18:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.09 ft |
2.29 ft |
-0.80 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-05 18:50 |
2026-07-05 15:15 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.62" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (28 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.41" |
1.31 ft |
18:23 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.41" |
0.43 ft |
20:05 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.47" |
0.28 ft |
22:22 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.55" |
0.20 ft |
00:23 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.42" |
0.13 ft |
01:48 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-07-05 18:50
Issued 2026-07-05 17:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.60 ft |
2.28 ft |
-0.32 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-05 17:50 |
2026-07-05 14:00 |
— |
Moisture: DRY (0.38" 7-day, x0.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (28 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.23" |
0.37 ft |
17:42 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.25" |
0.13 ft |
19:23 |
MODERATE |
| 3 |
0.22" |
0.05 ft |
21:06 |
LIGHT |
| 4 |
0.26" |
0.03 ft |
22:06 |
LIGHT |
| 5 |
0.20" |
0.02 ft |
23:44 |
LIGHT |