Cossatot River — Predictions: 2026-07-12
Predictions issued: 10
Settled (peak window passed): 10
Issued 2026-07-13 04:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.07 ft |
2.89 ft |
-0.18 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-13 04:50 |
2026-07-12 23:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.98" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (31 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.79" |
0.43 ft |
03:29 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.53" |
0.24 ft |
05:28 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-07-13 04:50
Issued 2026-07-13 03:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.23 ft |
2.95 ft |
-0.28 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-13 03:50 |
2026-07-12 22:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.98" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (31 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 4 |
0.79" |
0.43 ft |
03:29 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.53" |
0.24 ft |
05:28 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-07-13 02:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.34 ft |
3.04 ft |
-0.30 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-13 02:50 |
2026-07-12 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.98" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (31 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
1.52" |
1.89 ft |
01:12 |
INTENSE |
| 4 |
0.79" |
0.43 ft |
03:29 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.53" |
0.24 ft |
05:28 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-07-13 01:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
4.01 ft |
3.15 ft |
-0.86 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-13 01:50 |
2026-07-12 20:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.98" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (31 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
1.52" |
1.89 ft |
01:12 |
INTENSE |
| 4 |
0.79" |
0.43 ft |
03:29 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.53" |
0.24 ft |
05:28 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- low_floatable_up: 2026-07-13 01:50
Issued 2026-07-13 00:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
4.34 ft |
3.28 ft |
-1.06 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-13 00:50 |
2026-07-12 19:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.98" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (31 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 3 |
1.52" |
1.89 ft |
01:12 |
INTENSE |
| 4 |
0.79" |
0.43 ft |
03:29 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.53" |
0.24 ft |
05:28 |
MODERATE |
Issued 2026-07-12 23:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
4.93 ft |
3.44 ft |
-1.49 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-12 23:50 |
2026-07-12 18:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.98" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Predicted rise exceeds observed range
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
2.91" |
6.35 ft |
23:05 |
INTENSE |
| 3 |
1.52" |
1.89 ft |
01:12 |
INTENSE |
| 4 |
0.79" |
0.43 ft |
03:29 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.53" |
0.24 ft |
05:28 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-07-12 23:50
- low_floatable_up: 2026-07-12 23:50
Issued 2026-07-12 22:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
6.67 ft |
3.45 ft |
-3.22 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-12 22:50 |
2026-07-12 18:15 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.98" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Predicted rise exceeds observed range
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 2 |
2.91" |
6.35 ft |
23:05 |
INTENSE |
| 3 |
1.52" |
1.88 ft |
01:11 |
INTENSE |
| 4 |
0.77" |
0.42 ft |
03:26 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.51" |
0.23 ft |
05:23 |
MODERATE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-07-12 22:50
- low_floatable_up: 2026-07-12 22:50
- optimal_up: 2026-07-12 22:50
- above_recommended_up: 2026-07-12 22:50
Issued 2026-07-12 21:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
6.70 ft |
3.45 ft |
-3.25 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-12 22:50 |
2026-07-12 18:15 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.88" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Predicted rise exceeds observed range
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.83" |
12.27 ft |
21:14 |
INTENSE |
| 2 |
2.86" |
6.25 ft |
23:02 |
INTENSE |
| 3 |
1.43" |
1.77 ft |
01:04 |
INTENSE |
| 4 |
0.64" |
0.34 ft |
03:03 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.33" |
0.11 ft |
04:42 |
LIGHT |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-07-12 21:50
- low_floatable_up: 2026-07-12 21:50
- optimal_up: 2026-07-12 21:50
- above_recommended_up: 2026-07-12 22:50
Issued 2026-07-12 20:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
11.42 ft |
2.98 ft |
-8.44 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-12 20:50 |
2026-07-12 17:45 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.65" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: medium — Predicted rise exceeds observed range
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.59" |
10.66 ft |
21:05 |
INTENSE |
| 2 |
2.60" |
5.67 ft |
22:55 |
INTENSE |
| 3 |
1.20" |
1.49 ft |
00:51 |
INTENSE |
| 4 |
0.42" |
0.23 ft |
02:29 |
MODERATE |
| 5 |
0.19" |
0.06 ft |
03:54 |
LIGHT |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-07-12 20:50
- low_floatable_up: 2026-07-12 20:50
- optimal_up: 2026-07-12 20:50
- above_recommended_up: 2026-07-12 20:50
Issued 2026-07-12 19:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.61 ft |
3.45 ft |
+0.84 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-12 21:50 |
2026-07-12 18:15 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.72" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (31 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.17" |
0.53 ft |
20:12 |
MODERATE |
| 2 |
0.70" |
0.88 ft |
22:11 |
HEAVY |
| 3 |
0.39" |
0.23 ft |
00:09 |
MODERATE |
| 4 |
0.20" |
0.05 ft |
01:39 |
LIGHT |
| 5 |
0.10" |
0.02 ft |
03:17 |
LIGHT |