Empirical Forecasts — Cossatot River — 2026-07-16

Forecasts archived: 24
Settled (expiry passed): 24

Cossatot River

05:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 8.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

04:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 7.8 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

03:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 6.6 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band p25_to_p50, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

02:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 2.2 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

01:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.3 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

00:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

23:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

22:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

21:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

20:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

19:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

18:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

17:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

16:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

15:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

14:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

13:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

12:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

11:18 UTC — current tier: below_low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to LOW, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

10:18 UTC — current tier: low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: MISSED_LOWER (actual max: below_low, crossed: did not reach target)

09:18 UTC — current tier: low. QPE 6h: 0.0 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: low, crossed: did not reach target)

08:18 UTC — current tier: low. QPE 6h: 0.2 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: low, crossed: did not reach target)

07:18 UTC — current tier: low. QPE 6h: 0.6 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: low, crossed: did not reach target)

06:18 UTC — current tier: low. QPE 6h: 0.6 mm (moist soil). - Forecast: rise to MEDIUM, band below_p25, confidence calibrated - Outcome: NO_CHANGE (actual max: low, crossed: did not reach target)