Richland Creek — Predictions: 2026-07-06
Predictions issued: 4
Settled (peak window passed): 4
Issued 2026-07-07 05:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.19 ft |
0.83 ft |
-2.36 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-07 05:50 |
2026-07-07 00:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.61" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.25" |
2.45 ft |
05:34 |
INTENSE |
| 2 |
0.76" |
0.94 ft |
05:58 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-07-07 05:50
Issued 2026-07-07 04:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.19 ft |
0.83 ft |
-2.36 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-07 05:50 |
2026-07-06 23:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.61" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (12 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.25" |
2.45 ft |
05:34 |
INTENSE |
| 2 |
0.76" |
0.94 ft |
05:58 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-07-07 05:50
Issued 2026-07-07 03:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.07 ft |
0.83 ft |
-2.24 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-07 05:50 |
2026-07-06 22:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.57" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (12 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.21" |
2.36 ft |
05:32 |
INTENSE |
| 2 |
0.75" |
0.93 ft |
05:57 |
HEAVY |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-07-07 05:50
Issued 2026-07-07 02:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.20 ft |
0.83 ft |
-0.37 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-07 04:50 |
2026-07-06 21:30 |
— |
Moisture: NORMAL (0.82" 7-day, x1.00)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (12 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.44" |
0.49 ft |
04:51 |
HEAVY |