Richland Creek — Predictions: 2026-07-07

Predictions issued: 5
Settled (peak window passed): 5

Issued 2026-07-08 01:20

Metric	Predicted	Actual	Error
Peak height	1.37 ft	0.96 ft	-0.41 ft
Peak time	2026-07-08 01:50	2026-07-07 20:30	—

Moisture: WET (1.94" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)

Band contributions

Band	Precip	Rise	Arrival	Intensity
1	0.37"	0.52 ft	01:23	MODERATE
2	0.27"	0.19 ft	01:33	LIGHT

Issued 2026-07-08 00:20

Metric	Predicted	Actual	Error
Peak height	1.38 ft	0.96 ft	-0.42 ft
Peak time	2026-07-08 01:50	2026-07-07 19:45	—

Moisture: WET (1.94" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)

Band contributions

Band	Precip	Rise	Arrival	Intensity
1	0.37"	0.52 ft	01:23	MODERATE
2	0.27"	0.19 ft	01:33	LIGHT

Issued 2026-07-07 23:20

Metric	Predicted	Actual	Error
Peak height	1.39 ft	0.96 ft	-0.43 ft
Peak time	2026-07-08 01:50	2026-07-07 18:30	—

Moisture: WET (1.94" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)

Band contributions

Band	Precip	Rise	Arrival	Intensity
1	0.37"	0.52 ft	01:23	MODERATE
2	0.27"	0.19 ft	01:33	LIGHT

Issued 2026-07-07 22:20

Metric	Predicted	Actual	Error
Peak height	1.22 ft	0.96 ft	-0.26 ft
Peak time	2026-07-08 00:50	2026-07-07 17:30	—

Moisture: WET (1.76" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)

Band contributions

Band	Precip	Rise	Arrival	Intensity
1	0.17"	0.24 ft	00:47	MODERATE
2	0.12"	0.09 ft	01:00	LIGHT

Issued 2026-07-07 06:20

Metric	Predicted	Actual	Error
Peak height	1.08 ft	0.83 ft	-0.25 ft
Peak time	2026-07-07 06:50	2026-07-07 03:00	—

Moisture: WET (1.61" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)

Band contributions

Band	Precip	Rise	Arrival	Intensity
1	1.25"	2.45 ft	05:34	INTENSE
2	0.76"	0.94 ft	05:58	HEAVY