Richland Creek — Predictions: 2026-07-11
Predictions issued: 4
Settled (peak window passed): 4
Issued 2026-07-12 00:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.13 ft |
0.83 ft |
-0.30 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-12 00:50 |
2026-07-11 19:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.73" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.23" |
0.23 ft |
00:44 |
LIGHT |
| 2 |
0.22" |
0.16 ft |
00:41 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-07-11 23:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.06 ft |
0.83 ft |
-0.23 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-12 00:50 |
2026-07-11 18:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.70" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.20" |
0.20 ft |
00:27 |
LIGHT |
| 2 |
0.20" |
0.15 ft |
00:30 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-07-11 22:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
1.00 ft |
0.84 ft |
-0.16 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-12 00:50 |
2026-07-11 17:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.69" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.19" |
0.18 ft |
00:18 |
LIGHT |
| 2 |
0.19" |
0.14 ft |
00:25 |
LIGHT |
Issued 2026-07-11 21:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
0.96 ft |
0.84 ft |
-0.12 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-11 23:50 |
2026-07-11 16:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.61" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (13 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.11" |
0.11 ft |
23:54 |
LIGHT |
| 2 |
0.11" |
0.08 ft |
00:00 |
LIGHT |