Richland Creek — Predictions: 2026-07-15
Predictions issued: 4
Settled (peak window passed): 4
Issued 2026-07-15 21:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
2.40 ft |
1.82 ft |
-0.58 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-15 21:50 |
2026-07-15 16:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.86" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.29" |
2.52 ft |
21:15 |
INTENSE |
| 2 |
1.32" |
1.90 ft |
21:07 |
INTENSE |
Issued 2026-07-15 20:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.58 ft |
1.82 ft |
-1.76 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-15 20:50 |
2026-07-15 16:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.83" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.25" |
2.44 ft |
21:09 |
INTENSE |
| 2 |
1.30" |
1.87 ft |
21:05 |
INTENSE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-07-15 20:50
Issued 2026-07-15 19:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.63 ft |
1.82 ft |
-1.81 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-15 20:50 |
2026-07-15 16:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.78" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
1.19" |
2.32 ft |
21:04 |
INTENSE |
| 2 |
1.26" |
1.82 ft |
21:01 |
INTENSE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-07-15 20:50
Issued 2026-07-15 18:20
| Metric |
Predicted |
Actual |
Error |
| Peak height |
3.16 ft |
1.82 ft |
-1.34 ft |
| Peak time |
2026-07-15 20:50 |
2026-07-15 16:30 |
— |
Moisture: WET (1.52" 7-day, x1.50)
Confidence: high — Well-calibrated (14 events)
Band contributions
| Band |
Precip |
Rise |
Arrival |
Intensity |
| 1 |
0.90" |
1.76 ft |
20:48 |
INTENSE |
| 2 |
1.07" |
1.54 ft |
20:50 |
INTENSE |
Threshold crossings
- too_low_up: 2026-07-15 20:50